Tag Archives: sd20

by Mississippi PEP | August 23, 2011 · 1:55 pm

Nash–Runoff Predictions

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We’ll see today if the rule of thumb holds for election predictions — the candidate who raises or spends the most is usually the winner. In the case of the top three Republican runoffs on the ballot today, that would mean victories for Charles Barbour ($110,532 to $81,030 for Longwitz), Knox Ross ($200,149 to $106,218 for Harkins), and Lynn Fitch ($535,726 to $344,073 for Yancey). In the case of the Longwitz, Harkins and Yancey, they each have an advantage that might overcome the money: Longwitz has geography, Harkins has an extensive network of grassroots contacts in Rankin County, and Yancey has a network of church and conservative activist contacts across the state. Very hard to call these.

#Jere #Nash #Mississippi #politics #campaigns #elections #runoff #Charles #Barbour #Will #Longwitz #Knox #Ross #Josh #Harkins #Lynn #Fitch #Lee #Yancey #Treasurer #SD25 #SD20 #Republicans #finance #grassroots

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Tagged as barbour, campaigns, charles, elections, finance, fitch, grassroots, harkins, jere, josh, knox, lee, longwitz, lynn, mississippi, nash, politics, republicans, ross, runoff, sd20, sd25, treasurer, will, yancey

by Mississippi PEP | August 22, 2011 · 2:55 pm

Nash–Painting with a broad brush

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We Mississippi Democrats fully recognize that Mississippi Republicans love nothing more than throwing the liberal label at us. When it comes to a Mississippi Republican describing a Democrat, they can’t do it without inserting liberal in front of our party choice. In the campaign world, it’s calling painting with a broad brush. What we are witnessing in the party primaries this year is a more recent phenomenon — Republican candidates in a GOP primary accusing their Republican opponents of being liberal (or one of the many iterations: Obama supporter, closet Democrat, voted to raise taxes). Lee Yancey did it against Lynn Fitch. Charles Barbour has done it against Will Longwitz. And Josh Harkins has done it against Knox Ross. I’m a little dubious about the tactic; my sense is that GOP primary voters naturally assume anyone running as a Republican is, by default, conservative. If that’s the case, then the tactic will backfire. But I’ll admit I know virtually nothing about what it takes for a candidate to win a GOP primary. That is a foreign battleground for me, so Tuesday could prove me wrong. We’ll see.

#Mississippi #politics #Josh #Harkins #Knox #Ross #SD20 #Will #Longwitz #Charles #Barbour #SD25 #Lynn #Fitch #Lee #Yancey #Treasurer #elections #runoff #campaigns #Republicans